Traders see a 25 basis point cut at the Fed’s Nov. 6-7 meeting as near certain, but only a 70% chance of a 25 basis point reduction at both its November and December meetings, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.
Friday’s U.S. jobs report for October will be closely watched, as well as the U.S. presidential election on Tuesday.
Opinion polls still are putting Republican Donald Trump and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris neck and neck.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI), opens new tab fell 378.08 points, or 0.90%, to 41,763.46, the S&P 500 (.SPX), opens new tab fell 108.22 points, or 1.86%, to 5,705.45 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC), opens new tab fell 512.78 points, or 2.76%, to 18,095.15.
For the month, the S&P 500 fell 0.99%, the Nasdaq declined 0.52%, and the Dow fell 1.34%. Both the Dow and S&P snapped a five-month streak of gains.
MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS), opens new tab fell 12.64 points, or 1.50%, to 832.30. The index was down 2.3% for the month of October, also breaking a five-month streak of increases.
The STOXX 600 (.STOXX), opens new tab index ended 1.2% lower.
U.S. Treasury yields rose after the U.S. economic data.
Benchmark 10-year yields were last up 1.8 basis points at 4.282%. They reached a nearly four-month high of 4.339% on Tuesday.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin , the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market cap, was 3.2% lower at $70,458, about 4% shy of its record high from March.
Gold retreated after hitting a record high, while safe-haven demand helped the precious metal log its fourth straight monthly gain.
Spot gold was down 1.6% at $2,740.45 per ounce, after hitting a record high of $2,790.15 earlier in the session. Prices have firmed around 4% for the month.
Oil prices extended gains after settlement, rising on a report that Iran is preparing to attack Israel from Iraqi territory in the coming days.
WTI crude oil futures jumped $1.81 to $70.42 at 3:00 p.m. EDT, after settlement and Brent futures for January delivery jumped by $1.82 to $73.98. U.S. crude rose 1.33% to $69.52 a barrel and Brent rose to $73.23 per barrel, up 0.94% on the day.
Source from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/markets/global-markets-wrapup-1-2024-10-31/